Metallic-Polarisation
0xdc66699c8526e6184754f65233fcd5374a4b2317
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-93.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 7?
1027 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by between 36% and 38.9% in December?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 8?
313 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
ECB rate cut in 2025?
188 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by between 24% and 26.9% in December?$1.00Jan 6, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by between 36% and 38.9% in December?$1.00Jan 6, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 4?$1.00Jan 3, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 1?$6.45Jan 3, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 4?$1.00Jan 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 3?$1.00Jan 1, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 2?$2.00Jan 1, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the January meeting?$1.00Jan 1, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 1?$2.00Dec 30, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 25, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 24?$3.57Dec 25, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 23, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 24?$1.00Dec 22, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 24?$2.00Dec 22, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 22?$1.00Dec 21, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 22?$1.00Dec 21, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 23?$2.00Dec 21, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 26?$1.00Dec 20, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on December 26?$7.00Dec 20, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 21?$2.00Dec 19, 12:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 12:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 19:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".