Mild-Raft
0xdc6833a5dcaae74b0787e20d52e0263c8998c919
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-301.85
Realised
$77.29
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will Solana reach $200 in December?
7200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
4250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $190 in December?
3860 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.86
- YES
Will Solana dip to $110 in December?
3705 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $180 in December?
3307 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $100 in December?
3222 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- YES
Will Solana dip to $80 in December?
3107 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $170 in December?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 5?
2736 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-12.73
- YES
Will Solana reach $210 in December?
2619 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$0.00Apr 8, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin all time high before 2026?$0.00Apr 8, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Apr 8, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 30?$0.00Apr 8, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 March 2-8?$0.00Apr 8, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $160 on January 2?$0.00Apr 8, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?$1.13Mar 5, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,400 March 2-8?$1.13Mar 5, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?$3.49Mar 5, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 5?$2.00Mar 5, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 5?$1.87Mar 5, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 5?$1.00Mar 5, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?$2.87Mar 5, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 5?$1.73Mar 5, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?$1.66Mar 5, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 5?$5.00Mar 5, 08:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.