Trusting-Tin
0xdc7aa57887e31cd9c1599331d196d5a397a233eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-126.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 10PM ET
217 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 18?
217 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 28?
203 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 8?
181 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.61
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
180 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?
169 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
- YES
Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
155 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 6?
139 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 28?
139 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 24?
123 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 7?$190.85Jul 7, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 7?$188.54Jul 6, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.20 in May?$162.96Jun 1, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in May?$161.33May 31, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 24?$196.92May 24, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 24?$194.36May 23, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 18?$3.47May 17, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill MIRA-CJL win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$43.75May 16, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on May 9?$26.41May 9, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$2.56May 8, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 28?$155.56May 8, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on May 9?$0.95May 8, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on May 9?$22.29May 8, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 8?$3.86May 7, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 24, 6PM ET$0.00May 2, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 28?$152.76Apr 28, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on March 30?$169.70Apr 26, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 15?$1.17Apr 15, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $120 on January 23?$0.00Apr 12, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$3.74Mar 31, 23:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $52.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 16:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.