Voluminous-Talking
0xdc80d019ad0447fa214f9b7c409bae07a9fc991b
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$28.78
Total PnL
$-8.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
19 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$19.06
$-0.04
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.10
$-0.00
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.63
$0.13
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1180 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
612 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Solana reach $350 in October?
542 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Tencent have the best AI model on October 31?
337 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
325 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Paprika Recipe Manager 3 be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
275 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
204 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$19.10Jul 5, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$8.10Jul 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$49.90Jul 1, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$1.81Jul 1, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in June?$79.70Jun 30, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?$189.24Jun 30, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.41Jun 30, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$1.80Jun 29, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?$188.15Jun 29, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$49.80Jun 29, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in June?$79.32Jun 28, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.11Jun 28, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMCap FDV above $1B one day after launch?$245.19Jun 27, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.40Jun 27, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap FDV above $1B one day after launch?$244.73Jun 27, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$317.88Jun 27, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.10Jun 26, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$315.67Jun 26, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $130 in May?$5.42Jun 1, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?$6.62Jun 1, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $101.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 20:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 04:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.