Knowing-Gaffer
0xdc8985ed4457cf033d9424d5caddfb1d9d15ccea
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-93.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
572 shares @ 25.3¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$145.89
$0.89
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the OH-12 House seat?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$105.00
$5.00
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
137 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$102.05
$2.05
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?
421 shares @ 19.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$86.32
$6.32
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
160 shares @ 46.9¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$74.37
$-0.63
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?
288 shares @ 26.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$64.83
$-10.17
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?
367 shares @ 21.8¢·now 17.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$62.43
$-17.57
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
249 shares @ 20.1¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$54.80
$4.80
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-07 House seat?
300 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$48.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1098 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$46.65
$1.65
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat?$32.32May 16, 16:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$5.11May 14, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$33.67May 14, 16:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat?$20.66May 7, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?$25.76May 7, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?$31.02May 7, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat?$41.50May 7, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the IL-15 House seat?$40.45May 7, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?$36.20May 7, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $33.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".