Judicious-Parchment-Runner
0xdc8aeb99de6e5334e1f452c05c5e76ee9f107ba1
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$13.28
Total PnL
$-478.72
Realised
$-3.63
Win rate
0%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
7 shares @ 55.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$6.87
$2.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
7 shares @ 54.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$6.41
$2.41
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
133 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
80 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
40 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
33 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
33 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
27 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
27 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
27 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$4.00Aug 20, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$4.00Aug 20, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$7.02Aug 20, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$4.00Aug 20, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$3.07Aug 20, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$0.93Aug 20, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$6.67Aug 20, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$6.67Aug 20, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$3.98Aug 20, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$4.00Aug 20, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$7.27Aug 20, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$4.00Aug 20, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$4.11Aug 20, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.24Aug 20, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$0.01Aug 20, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$2.75Aug 20, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$2.73Aug 20, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$4.00Aug 20, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.41Aug 20, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$0.09Aug 20, 18:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 18:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.