Uneven-Certainty
0xdca03766fde12e798edf0ecfc951567d8e580358
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-211.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
190 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.90
- NO
Ethereum above $4600 on August 27?
123 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 27, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Ethereum above $4200 on September 1?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by September meeting?
50 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Ethereum above $4300 on September 1?
39 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Ethereum above $4400 on September 1?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $4300 on September 1?$15.00Aug 26, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $4200 on September 1?$20.00Aug 26, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $4400 on September 1?$20.00Aug 26, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$5.00Aug 26, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $4600 on August 27?$100.00Aug 26, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLTigers vs. Athletics$1.00Aug 26, 04:23 UTC
- MERGEPhillies vs. Mets$22.22Aug 26, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTigers vs. Athletics$20.00Aug 26, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by September meeting?$11.00Aug 26, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$20.90Aug 26, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Aug 26, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhillies vs. Mets$2.00Aug 26, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhillies vs. Mets$20.00Aug 26, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 27, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 27, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$10.00Jun 23, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$16.00Jun 23, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$15.78Jun 23, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$10.00Jun 22, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$20.36Jun 22, 23:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $25.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 03:58 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 26, 07:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".