Wallet digest

Activity score

23/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$5.93

Total PnL

$-57.89

Realised

$-7.84

Win rate

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 12

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
5 shares @ 8.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$4.99
$4.59
YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
60 shares @ 10.2¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.94
$-5.22
YES
BitBoy convicted?
56 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026
$0.00
$-20.63
YES
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
36 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026
$0.00
$-14.59
YES
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026
$0.00
$-8.73
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026
$0.00
$-4.92
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026
$0.00
$-0.05
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026
$0.00
$-0.05
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-0.05
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-0.05

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 03:12 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 03:12 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 03:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 02:27 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 02:27 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 02:19 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 02:18 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 02:18 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 02:13 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 02:13 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 02:08 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 02:08 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 01:58 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 01:48 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 01:48 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 01:37 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 01:37 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 01:37 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 01:37 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 01:37 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity0 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry33 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk61 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 0
Avg trade size: $0.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 20, 23:54 UTC
Last active: Mar 21, 03:12 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 10:42:58 UTC·src:Polymarket Data