0xdca4b8c6188463a853f7306bc9348f3042c45cfa
0xdca4b8c6188463a853f7306bc9348f3042c45cfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-205.89
Realised
$-14.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $112K before July 14?
5055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-9.40
- NO
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31?
163 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.95
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?
150 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-31.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 1?
147 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 31 at 5PM ET?
99 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.67
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3900 in July?
96 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 30 at 5PM ET?
75 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $114K before July 14?
35 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-16.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 1?$51.00Aug 1, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3900 July 28–August 3?$71.39Aug 1, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3900 July 28–August 3?$53.80Aug 1, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $114K on August 1?$53.25Aug 1, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $114K on August 1?$45.00Jul 31, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 1?$45.56Jul 31, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 1?$60.00Jul 31, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 31 at 5PM ET?$24.67Jul 31, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on July 31 at 5PM ET?$84.39Jul 31, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on July 31 at 5PM ET?$62.00Jul 31, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 31 at 5PM ET?$47.85Jul 31, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 31 at 5PM ET?$60.00Jul 30, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 30 at 5PM ET?$6.00Jul 30, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 30 at 5PM ET?$66.08Jul 30, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 30 at 5PM ET?$39.00Jul 30, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 30 at 5PM ET?$39.03Jul 30, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 30 at 5PM ET?$41.40Jul 30, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 30?$41.44Jul 30, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 30?$15.49Jul 29, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 29 at 5PM ET?$15.47Jul 29, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $40.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 19:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 14:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.