0xdccf9c790957a61f77bc02a662713a3a7cc91321
0xdccf9c790957a61f77bc02a662713a3a7cc91321
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-119.63
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
731 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
731 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
312 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
233 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
212 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
188 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
161 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
160 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$15.90Aug 3, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$21.12Aug 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.08Aug 3, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$5.37Aug 3, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$34.09Aug 3, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$15.74Aug 3, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$25.49Aug 3, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$18.55Aug 3, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$19.20Aug 3, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$10.44Aug 3, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$20.87Aug 3, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$29.41Aug 3, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.06Aug 3, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.07Aug 3, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$20.65Aug 3, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$42.30Aug 3, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$31.99Aug 3, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$24.28Aug 3, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$26.66Aug 3, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$15.94Aug 3, 14:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $9.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.