Frightening-Defendant
0xdcda2c2b3e211e4fea060ba0ec8b3a689ed0e559
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$11.31
Total PnL
$1.61
Realised
$1.56
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.99
$0.01
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.45
$0.03
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.35
$0.01
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.31
$0.00
- NO
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.20
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.98Mar 11, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.99Mar 1, 09:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 23, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.99Feb 22, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.65Feb 22, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$485.54Feb 22, 02:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Feb 22, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Feb 21, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$491.69Feb 20, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$201.94Feb 20, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$289.70Feb 20, 15:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Feb 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$202.15Feb 19, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$290.00Feb 19, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$492.15Feb 19, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$491.02Feb 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$197.60Feb 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$293.41Feb 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$295.02Feb 17, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$199.00Feb 17, 13:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $150.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 08:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.