Cloudy-Canoe
0xdce0d1016ead1525fc8c7b6513f989a60ff02daf
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.96
Total PnL
$-11.1K
Realised
$2.4K
Win rate
76%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1583 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.96
$-4.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
11299 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-97.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
9543 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
8028 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-134.73
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
4044 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-205.63
- YES
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
3533 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-41.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
2900 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-245.18
- YES
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
2768 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-277.57
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
2693 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-251.41
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
2652 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-322.46
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$3.07Jun 13, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.07Jun 13, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 13, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.05Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$3.60Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 13, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.03Jun 13, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.03Jun 13, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.40Jun 13, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 13, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 13, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$7.45Jun 13, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 13, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.04Jun 13, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.05Jun 13, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.05Jun 13, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$2.04Jun 13, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$4.81Jun 13, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$3.69Jun 13, 22:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 08:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.