Thick-Bone
0xdce4f9dd757d3d0ef7d033927094bb26ff1d75ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-126.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
14720 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-14.72
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Iran military response by Tuesday?
650 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2024$0.00
$-71.55
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Iran military response by Friday?
179 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2024$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
145 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-13.08
- YES
Iran military response before October?
125 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-12.50
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$13.08Nov 15, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response before October?$12.50Sep 21, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$10.72Sep 18, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$3.00Sep 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$1.00Sep 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$1.00Sep 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Friday?$3.00Aug 9, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Monday?$1.00Aug 8, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. military action against Iran by August 31?$1.00Aug 8, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Friday?$5.00Aug 8, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Tuesday?$71.55Aug 6, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $8.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 18:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".