Quixotic-Landing
0xdce615fbe470df78b13fcf8afbc7f9eace00477b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$474.41
Total PnL
$-473.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
135 shares @ 81.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$134.84
$24.84
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
124 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$123.60
$13.60
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
80 shares @ 62.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$79.81
$29.81
- YES
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
68 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$68.37
$25.98
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
68 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$67.80
$27.80
- NO
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?
384 shares @ 91.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-350.45
- YES
Bitcoin above $116K on August 21 at 4PM ET?
146 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $113K on August 21 at 4PM ET?
141 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $114K on August 21 at 4PM ET?
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $340b on August 31?
109 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$110.00Sep 5, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$110.00Sep 5, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?$37.04Sep 5, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?$56.82Sep 5, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill FAST win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?$61.54Sep 5, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEM Will the U.S. take a stake in Intel by September 30?$30.15Aug 24, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $210 in August?$55.68Aug 24, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$42.39Aug 21, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PNP (People’s National Party) win the most seats in the 2025 Jamaica House of Representatives election?$40.00Aug 21, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FAST win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?$40.00Aug 21, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMArsenal wins the Premier League?$122.40Aug 21, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be less than $340b on August 31?$34.90Aug 21, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will the U.S. take a stake in Intel by September 30?$10.10Aug 21, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?$20.00Aug 21, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?$50.00Aug 21, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$10.00Aug 21, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$40.00Aug 21, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $210 in August?$25.00Aug 21, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $114K on August 21 at 4PM ET?$50.00Aug 21, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $116K on August 21 at 4PM ET?$10.00Aug 21, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $89.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 5, 20:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".