Sparse-Bureau
0xdce8354f46ea32e76a36995bc042bd7d1b0db298
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-37.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
1691 shares @ 87.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 55°F or below on November 3?
1010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 8?
714 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-635.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 3?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
199 shares @ 54.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-108.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
128 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on October 30?
120 shares @ 58.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-70.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
100 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$37.79May 29, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$92.43May 29, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on March 27?$60.62May 29, 11:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $65.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.