Thoughtful-Easel
0xdce906ca82507a9b8112dfd7e5649ecc6e4a06b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$1.0K
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
69%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
20000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-62.64
- NO
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?
3056 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?
1571 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-53.16
- YES
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
1473 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-38.95
- YES
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?
971 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-89.65
- NO
Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia by April 30, 2026?
852 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-82.87
- YES
Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?
573 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-35.97
- YES
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?
165 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-39.24
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?$2.90Apr 24, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?$2.90Apr 23, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?$25.65Apr 22, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$12.62Apr 22, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.00Apr 22, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.50Apr 22, 03:44 UTC
- REWARD$2.33Apr 22, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.00Apr 22, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.00Apr 22, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.00Apr 22, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.00Apr 22, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.00Apr 22, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.00Apr 22, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.00Apr 22, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.03Apr 22, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$3.00Apr 22, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$3.00Apr 22, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.53Apr 22, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$40.00Apr 22, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$9.00Apr 22, 02:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 01:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 17:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.