False-Meaning
0xdcfa39ca98bb84189d0888ca4748b7286ab6dde4
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$11.81
Total PnL
$-10.92
Realised
$-3.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elbridge Colby be Trump's Defense Secretary?
3 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$2.72
$0.12
- NO
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$1.65
$0.02
- NO
Brentford wins the Premier League?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$1.37
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.36
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$1.33
$0.28
- NO
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$1.26
$0.01
- NO
Will Robert O'Brien be Trump's Defense Secretary?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.11
$0.00
- NO
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
8220 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?$1.00Dec 29, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert O'Brien be Trump's Defense Secretary?$1.11Dec 29, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elbridge Colby be Trump's Defense Secretary?$2.60Dec 29, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrentford wins the Premier League?$1.36Dec 29, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBournemouth wins the Premier League?$1.25Dec 29, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$8.22Dec 29, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 75-79?$1.08Dec 29, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. win 1-2% of the popular vote?$1.22Dec 29, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill $HAWK FDV be $10,000,000-$20,000,000 one day after launch?$1.22Dec 29, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,250 in November?$1.25Dec 29, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill $HAWK FDV be $20,000,000-$30,000,000 one day after launch?$1.29Dec 29, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in November?$1.36Dec 29, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?$1.49Dec 29, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?$1.54Dec 29, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?$1.05Nov 30, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?$1.05Nov 30, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $HAWK FDV be $20,000,000-$30,000,000 one day after launch?$1.17Nov 30, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $HAWK FDV be $10,000,000-$20,000,000 one day after launch?$1.15Nov 30, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 75-79?$1.08Nov 30, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?$1.00Nov 30, 09:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $89.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 29, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 29, 17:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".