Mealy-Sequel
0xdd02a1ae2641c34f9ac980f85615367505cc3431
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$45.12
Total PnL
$-277.65
Realised
$-14.21
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
45 shares @ 61.3¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$35.57
$7.95
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 73.1¢·now 72.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$9.55
$-0.11
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
27 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
27 shares @ 78.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
22 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
20 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-12.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.49Jul 28, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.02Jul 28, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.01Jul 28, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$4.36Jul 28, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.01Jul 28, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.02Jul 28, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$2.08Jul 28, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.03Jul 28, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.00Jul 28, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.00Jul 28, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.03Jul 28, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.04Jul 28, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$0.64Jul 28, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.02Jul 28, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$0.22Jul 28, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.03Jul 28, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$0.84Jul 28, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.05Jul 28, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$2.74Jul 28, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$2.80Jul 28, 05:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 15:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 06:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.