Impossible-Ballot
0xdd04799af6bca36179b1cb5037722dd37056dbfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-402.23
Realised
$-6.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?
916 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-225.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 9?
182 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-108.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on April 9?
25 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 12?
14 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 9?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.18May 14, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.25May 14, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.25May 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.22Apr 14, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.20Apr 14, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.23Apr 14, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.20Apr 14, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.28Apr 14, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.26Apr 14, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.31Apr 14, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 16:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.