Flaky-War
0xdd153625e111a496d372dfb7d7a69d4330324a07
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$10.2K
Total PnL
$-21.7K
Realised
$-126.79
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30000 shares @ 3.6¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.5K
$375.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26603 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.4K
$-13.30
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
25094 shares @ 4.9¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.3K
$81.10
- NO
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2319 shares @ 25.8¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$904.22
$306.41
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
104983 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$892.36
$-342.35
- YES
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2446 shares @ 28.6¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$795.08
$94.10
- NO
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 34.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$590.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
17551 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$482.67
$-46.41
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6000 shares @ 8.3¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$471.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$330.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.58Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.58Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.59Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.59Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.61Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.58Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.58Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$147.56Jun 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.59Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46.66Jun 4, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.25Jun 4, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.33Jun 4, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.25Jun 4, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.60Jun 4, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 4, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$75.00Jun 4, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Jun 4, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$693.46Jun 4, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$147.81Jun 4, 17:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $91.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 23:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.