Prize-Jar
0xdd1b8cadae45b05d8f7c02acb1966b4b2ca2ff31
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$55.08
Total PnL
$-330.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
44 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14?
51 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$15.30
$0.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
286 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-86.53
- YES
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
132 shares @ 82.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-108.96
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 5, 2026?
121 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-63.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 8?
96 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.78
- UP
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
70 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-18.97
- YES
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
36 shares @ 73.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 11?
35 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.94
- YES
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
20 shares @ 60.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-12.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14?$15.84Jun 13, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 12, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 12, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 12, 2026?$100.00Jun 13, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 12, 2026?$7.51Jun 12, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12?$6.88Jun 12, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12?$12.32Jun 12, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 12, 2026?$33.00Jun 11, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 12?$9.03Jun 11, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 12?$8.17Jun 11, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12?$12.53Jun 11, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12?$6.89Jun 11, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11?$2.16Jun 11, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11?$21.88Jun 11, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$19.53Jun 11, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 12, 2026?$95.22Jun 11, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 12, 2026?$8.86Jun 10, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 11?$7.22Jun 10, 13:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $53.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 19:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.