Favorite-Permafrost
0xdd1fb9a01b3b17e9ad6bbae55d561b104731ea7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$7.3K
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4173 shares @ 71.9¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.0K
$25.68
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1566 shares @ 83.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.3K
$-31.36
- YES
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
1333 shares @ 75.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.0K
$6.67
- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1023 shares @ 88.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$843.75
$-56.25
- NO
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
969 shares @ 82.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$799.54
$-0.45
- YES
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
899 shares @ 60.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$112.41
$-434.04
- NO
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
170 shares @ 58.7¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$99.72
$-0.28
- NO
Will Romelu Lukaku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
303 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$74.24
$-1.52
- YES
Will Federico Valverde record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
504 shares @ 9.9¢·now 5.3¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$26.48
$-23.52
- YES
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
5205 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Romelu Lukaku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$77.46Jun 14, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101.24Jun 14, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5) AND Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5$50.55Jun 14, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Federico Valverde record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.35Jun 14, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?$1.0KJun 14, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.3KJun 14, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYHungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5$119.53Jun 9, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$34.55Jun 9, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$41.62Jun 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$119.95Jun 9, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$103.77Jun 9, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$3.14Jun 9, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBorges vs. Atmane: Match O/U 21.5$201.75Jun 8, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.0KJun 8, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$61.33Jun 8, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$46.41Jun 8, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.3KJun 8, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$51.12Jun 7, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$85.07Jun 7, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$91.01Jun 5, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $252.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 18:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.