Limping-Offense
0xdd2362a6a69701056c50a70450c7c2c516f0faba
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$87.10
Win rate
59%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 2?
1650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?
1413 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.97
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 6?
1118 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-33.55
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 6?
1055 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 11?
1032 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 1?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?$2.70Jul 9, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 9?$0.81Jul 9, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 9?$0.21Jul 9, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?$5.20Jul 9, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 9?$0.81Jul 9, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 8?$14.98Jul 8, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?$0.00Jul 8, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?$0.08Jul 8, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?$0.05Jul 8, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?$0.03Jul 8, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?$0.06Jul 8, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?$0.99Jul 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?$1.65Jul 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?$0.03Jul 8, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?$0.01Jul 8, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 9?$0.28Jul 8, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?$0.24Jul 8, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?$0.50Jul 8, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?$0.01Jul 8, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?$0.00Jul 8, 05:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 41 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
41 closed markets, 59% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 11:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.