Knobby-Disparity
0xdd2dcebc3a85e8e7f986143446b13f91cb8e84e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$6.0K
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$3.3K
Win rate
45%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
5703 shares @ 42.3¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.5K
$96.18
- NO
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
6956 shares @ 29.5¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.9K
$-136.37
- NO
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
3300 shares @ 35.8¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.1K
$-92.99
- NO
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?
418 shares @ 61.5¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$183.86
$-73.31
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
1000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$165.00
$-5.00
- NO
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 76.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$138.74
$-12.98
- NO
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 72.9¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.41
$0.02
- NO
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?
24 shares @ 17.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.82
$-2.30
- NO
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 69.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.74
$0.10
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
16414 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-6.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$170.00Jun 13, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$90.75Jun 13, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$49.75Jun 12, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$56.15Jun 8, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.77Jun 8, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$3.40Jun 7, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5.10Jun 7, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$36.57Jun 6, 12:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$9.68May 30, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.1KMay 29, 15:36 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.14May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.6KMay 16, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$195.00May 16, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.6KMay 12, 17:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$11.68May 9, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$2.0KMay 8, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$723.90May 8, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$140.00May 8, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$912.86May 8, 15:42 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.88May 7, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $350.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.