Responsible-List
0xdd353d56731a4d9631a58b91c2e700bac234c85e
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-34.9K
Realised
$-223.53
Win rate
36%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
6573 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
1935 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
1692 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-761.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
1609 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score
1187 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-700.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?
995 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
988 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-280.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
985 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-399.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
984 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-502.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$30.82Jul 21, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$538.39Jul 21, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$104.36Jul 21, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$154.73Jul 21, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$113.32Jul 21, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$10.45Jul 21, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$30.99Jul 21, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$15.76Jul 21, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$61.48Jul 21, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$31.09Jul 21, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$360.52Jul 21, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$105.10Jul 21, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$15.02Jul 21, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$5.00Jul 21, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.00Jul 21, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$5.00Jul 21, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$30.60Jul 21, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$20.40Jul 21, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$3.06Jul 21, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$5.00Jul 21, 07:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $52.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 11:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.