Rewarding-Appellation
0xdd354f7252965c387f831504c4fb8db434279a8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
26 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
9 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$1.00May 17, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2025?$1.00May 17, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$1.00May 17, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$0.00May 17, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Poland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$0.00May 17, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$0.00May 17, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$0.00May 17, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$0.00May 17, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$7.40May 17, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$1.02May 15, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$3.00May 15, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$1.00May 15, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$16.67May 15, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$2.00May 15, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$2.00May 14, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$1.00May 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$1.00May 13, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$3.00May 13, 20:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 20:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.