Weekly-Flair
0xdd3b85cc46347a310d47acd5e590bdb19a03a8b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-722.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
102 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-11.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 8?
36 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 6?
27 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-7.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 22?
24 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 5?
23 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
20 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 10?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
19 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 15?
16 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 12?
16 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 21?$5.20Jul 22, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 21?$5.00Jul 22, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 23?$2.82Jul 22, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 22?$3.01Jul 22, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on July 22?$2.36Jul 21, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 21?$2.67Jul 21, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 20?$5.00Jul 21, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 20?$5.19Jul 21, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 22?$2.90Jul 21, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?$5.00Jul 20, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 20?$2.76Jul 20, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 20?$2.84Jul 20, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 19?$7.73Jul 20, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 21?$2.51Jul 20, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 21?$2.91Jul 20, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 20?$2.86Jul 19, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 20?$2.71Jul 19, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 18?$5.00Jul 19, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 18?$5.00Jul 19, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 20?$3.09Jul 19, 01:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 06:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.