Paltry-Inequality
0xdd4c09cf9d57cc0047bdf2dc75ccbf7e064adc84
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2256 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
2054 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1378 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?
1043 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Bull run: September
1012 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?
886 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?
826 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?
813 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
741 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
737 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-160.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$94.54Apr 2, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$32.78Apr 2, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$18.82Apr 2, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$18.18Apr 2, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?$8.75Apr 2, 10:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 2, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 31, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 28, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 26, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 23, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 22, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 21, 00:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 20, 00:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $34.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 00:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.