Young-Kilometer
0xdd50683607e30b3f36765146c15fd39c982eb62e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$105.71
Total PnL
$-20.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Is Earth flat?
43 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$42.78
$0.78
- NO
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
21 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$20.54
$0.54
- NO
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
20 shares @ 99.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$19.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
20 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$19.85
$-0.15
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4 shares @ 55.9¢·now 73.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.64
$0.64
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4000 July 21–27?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
15 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?$5.36Jul 8, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?$5.02Jul 8, 18:03 UTC
- MERGEWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$300.00Jul 8, 09:55 UTC
- MERGEWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$500.00Jul 8, 09:55 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.0KJul 8, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?$19.08Jul 8, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?$3.07Jul 8, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?$5.00Jul 8, 09:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jun 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $564.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.