New-Threat
0xdd5a662328b1aed0f13af51e51d9dea1f11fef75
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$3.84
Total PnL
$-828.72
Realised
$18.04
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
404 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.84
$-74.54
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
25889 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-279.96
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
3175 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-61.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
3100 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-141.98
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
1500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
1053 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
640 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-91.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Feb 18, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$88.18Feb 17, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.28Feb 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.07Feb 17, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.49Feb 17, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.10Feb 17, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$8.00Feb 17, 15:03 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.98Feb 17, 01:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 17, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$10.07Feb 16, 18:59 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$19.00Feb 16, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$19.08Feb 16, 18:59 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$36.00Feb 16, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$36.40Feb 16, 18:58 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$70.00Feb 16, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$19.24Feb 16, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$15.60Feb 16, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$29.91Feb 16, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$4.93Feb 16, 18:48 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$67.00Feb 16, 18:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $15.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 00:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.