Queasy-Principle
0xdd5bf00d8e91517df508ce8d4123c48d8a82b495
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$48.55
Total PnL
$-595.57
Realised
$53.37
Win rate
100%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
15 shares @ 47.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.94
$1.94
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 33.3¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.25
$-1.75
- YES
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?
42 shares @ 13.3¢·now 10.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.28
$-1.30
- YES
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 17.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.40
$-3.40
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
27 shares @ 24.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.38
$-3.15
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
35 shares @ 17.4¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.33
$-2.77
- YES
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.00
$-2.00
- YES
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.34
$-2.66
- YES
Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 18.2¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.14
$-4.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.25Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.