Foolhardy-Aglet
0xdd657949299d01d718028b25a8dfc353927ac0b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-997.01
Realised
$-90.97
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 1?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 17?
500 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or higher on February 13?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 15?
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 3?
487 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 14?
484 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 10?
333 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?
212 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 24?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on March 12?
200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 4?$15.00Jul 4, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 4?$15.00Jul 4, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 4?$6.00Jul 4, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 4?$15.00Jul 4, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on July 4?$15.00Jul 4, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 3?$6.00Jul 3, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 3?$4.99Jul 3, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 3?$10.00Jul 3, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 4?$4.47Jul 3, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on July 4?$12.85Jul 3, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 4?$1.60Jul 3, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 4?$1.04Jul 3, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 4?$1.60Jul 3, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 4?$12.27Jul 3, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 4?$12.70Jul 3, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on July 4?$0.18Jul 3, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on July 4?$0.33Jul 3, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 4?$12.85Jul 3, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 4?$1.82Jul 3, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on July 4?$0.55Jul 3, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 16:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.