Wallet digest

active

Activity score

49/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-11.9K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 12

UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
4264 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-2.1K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2322 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2155 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.1K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2154 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.1K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2150 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.1K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2145 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.1K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2142 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.1K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2130 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.1K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
2122 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.1K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2110 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.1K

Recent activity

REDEEMWill Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?$1.00Jan 16, 06:49 UTC
REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.05Jan 16, 06:49 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 03:44 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$380.00Nov 25, 07:49 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 07:49 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 07:49 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 07:49 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 07:49 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 07:49 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 07:49 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 07:35 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.1KNov 25, 07:35 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.1KNov 25, 07:35 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 07:35 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 07:35 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$4.2KNov 25, 07:35 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$190.00Nov 25, 07:09 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 07:01 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 07:01 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 07:01 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity35 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk61 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 23
Avg trade size: $377.70
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Nov 25, 06:02 UTC
Last active: Jan 16, 06:49 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:16:25 UTC·src:Polymarket Data