Vague-Revolution
0xdd79fc40dcb690699da00cc8433f57563c07989e
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$16.96
Total PnL
$-2.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 16?$0.80Jul 14, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on July 15?$18.36Jul 14, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 15?$8.68Jul 14, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 15?$8.68Jul 14, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 15?$4.51Jul 14, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?$1.33Jul 14, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?$1.47Jul 14, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 15?$5.11Jul 14, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 15?$34.41Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 15?$35.88Jul 14, 00:08 UTC
- REWARD$2.96Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$7.29Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 12?$7.60Jul 10, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 12?$3.20Jul 10, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 12?$4.80Jul 10, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 12?$33.66Jul 10, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 12?$37.59Jul 10, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 12?$5.83Jul 10, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 12?$5.78Jul 10, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 12?$12.20Jul 10, 10:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $11.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 23:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.