Sinful-Property
0xdd7a9fdd2d07f54e04ba3e2e9d69cd989502aafb
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-380.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
750 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
323 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-267.90
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
98 shares @ 98.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-96.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 4?$115.23Jul 4, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 4?$115.02Jul 4, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$120.24Jul 1, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$120.00Jun 26, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?$102.54Jun 23, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?$100.17Jun 23, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$115.35Jun 17, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$115.02Jun 17, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14?$115.37Jun 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14?$115.03Jun 14, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$115.67Jun 14, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$110.00Jun 10, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$112.36Jun 10, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$110.00Jun 5, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$110.66Jun 5, 05:16 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.57Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$110.03Jun 3, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$110.89Jun 3, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$110.04May 24, 05:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $116.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 16:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.