Straight-Gentleman
0xdd80ae459d2147c628f6d84266d26d75232a1649
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-527.23
Realised
$-179.70
Win rate
2%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 19?
547 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-35.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 13?
318 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-89.62
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 14?
268 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 20?
257 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.51
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18?
237 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 15?
200 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 21?
165 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.72
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on November 25?
133 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 21?
122 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.06
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 10?
100 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 14?$1.23Aug 13, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 14?$0.09Aug 13, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 14?$1.65Aug 13, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?$1.82Aug 13, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?$1.90Aug 12, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?$2.07Aug 12, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?$0.01Aug 12, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?$0.75Aug 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?$0.25Aug 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?$1.37Aug 12, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?$2.16Aug 12, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 10?$1.40Aug 10, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 7?$0.37Aug 7, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 7?$2.57Aug 7, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4?$4.61Aug 4, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4?$1.14Aug 4, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4?$2.74Aug 3, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 31?$0.51Jul 31, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 31?$1.02Jul 31, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 29?$4.28Jul 28, 23:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
42 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 09:49 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 23:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.