Baggy-Meadow
0xdd81a61259aa46fe49278f085565a0dcf722a8a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-18.37
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
24167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-73.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7AM ET
4968 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7AM ET
3139 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
2615 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-37.48
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
695 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
511 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5AM ET
430 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$1.06Jul 10, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$0.00Jul 10, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$3.12Jul 10, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$2.04Jul 9, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.03Jul 9, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.03Jul 9, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.03Jul 9, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.03Jul 9, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.04Jul 9, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$7.31Jul 9, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$1.03Jul 9, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$3.10Jul 9, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12PM ET$3.18Jul 9, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12PM ET$1.06Jun 27, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$5.15Jun 27, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$5.15Jun 27, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$5.34Jun 20, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6AM ET$5.28Jun 20, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$2.09Jun 15, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2.12Jun 15, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.