Smooth-Conspiracy
0xdd878f1dcfa12fc7be9c6d3411049dd9435a5eb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-600.84
Realised
$9.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 18?
1430 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 6?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 6?
430 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on April 9?
171 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-147.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 20?
110 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-26.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 2?
95 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 17?
95 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or higher on April 1?
83 shares @ 91.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-75.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 6?
79 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-11.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 12?
78 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-29.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 29?$3.89Apr 29, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 29?$25.62Apr 29, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 29?$4.54Apr 29, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 29?$17.22Apr 29, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29?$0.66Apr 29, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?$0.19Apr 29, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 29?$46.21Apr 29, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29?$0.02Apr 29, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 29?$34.45Apr 29, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 29?$16.90Apr 29, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 29?$17.82Apr 29, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 29?$39.00Apr 29, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 29?$37.50Apr 29, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 29?$40.31Apr 29, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on April 29?$41.62Apr 29, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?$112.39Apr 29, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?$2.15Apr 29, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29?$10.28Apr 29, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?$47.86Apr 29, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 29?$20.84Apr 29, 05:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $30.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 17:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".