Limping-Footage
0xdd8be2f6984fdfdd9bf4162c9c09683df48a63b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
174
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.5K
Realised
$-417.85
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 174- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?
88000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-88.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
27778 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-199.97
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23026 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-389.99
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8559 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-699.99
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?
7291 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6452 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?
4147 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
2500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-21?
1538 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?
1538 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$909.09Jul 20, 01:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$49.90Jul 14, 18:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$46.88Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$31.74Jul 11, 15:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$162.26Jul 10, 14:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$5.33Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$213.81Jul 9, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.47Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $119.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.