Advanced-Appropriation
0xdd8dfcabaed4df895bb7e3dc74e6dd12a5e1d6c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-63.25
Win rate
1%
198 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 20?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3PM ET
1030 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
205 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
170 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-17.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
160 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.11
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
160 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
135 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
125 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.78
- JAPAN
Spread: Japan (-2.5)
125 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.70Jul 28, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.84Jul 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.96Jul 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.75Jul 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$3.66Jul 28, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$4.68Jul 28, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.23Jul 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$9.04Jul 28, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.01Jul 28, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$3.04Jul 28, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.58Jul 28, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.96Jul 28, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.15Jul 28, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$4.67Jul 28, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.42Jul 28, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.59Jul 28, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.27Jul 28, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$3.56Jul 28, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$3.04Jul 28, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 198 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
198 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 19:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 198 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.