Defiant-Conservative
0xdd904883c85bcdf9ac753ca46be0f579dfd9022f
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-432.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?
21877 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-249.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
7980 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.98
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
7980 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.96
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
4612 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
3800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$30.35Feb 24, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$18.01Feb 24, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$18.01Feb 24, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$50.30Feb 23, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$49.00Feb 23, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Feb 2, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Feb 2, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$50.00Feb 2, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$200.00Feb 2, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$19.00Feb 2, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$19.84Feb 1, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$51.58Feb 1, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?$301.53Jan 31, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?$118.00Jan 31, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$118.00Jan 31, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?$140.00Jan 29, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$7.98Jan 28, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$7.98Jan 28, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$7.98Jan 28, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?$250.00Jan 27, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $89.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 19:37 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 10:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.