Rich-Game
0xdd9311d19221e811fda903a5a7e2475613b9a22b
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$118.05
Total PnL
$-556.12
Realised
$-260.85
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
2800 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$77.00
$-22.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$15.48
$5.48
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
1707 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$14.51
$-5.49
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$10.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
963 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
711 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-14.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
479 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?
275 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$31.45Jul 21, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$20.96Jul 21, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$20.99Jul 21, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$52.41Jul 21, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$197.01Jul 20, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$10.34Jul 20, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$10.25Jul 20, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?$94.82Jul 19, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?$100.00Jul 19, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?$205.34Jul 19, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$29.92Jul 19, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$29.78Jul 19, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$62.73Jul 19, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$206.34Jul 19, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?$70.55Jul 18, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?$83.25Jul 18, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$204.33Jul 18, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$12.23Jul 17, 16:30 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.15Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?$16.42Jul 16, 23:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $95.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 13:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.