Anguished-Burden
0xddac6b3c205cbdf8700bd87cff3b9293db5a71ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$151.73
Total PnL
$-151.06
Realised
$-33.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
135 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$69.33
$-0.67
- YES
France to score first vs. Spain?
93 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$49.54
$-0.46
- NO
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals
21 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$17.88
$-0.10
- YES
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$9.84
$-0.16
- YES
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$5.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
108 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-38.88
- UNDER
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5
29 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- OVER
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5
29 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDésiré Doué: 1+ goals$18.10Jul 13, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance to score first vs. Spain?$51.15Jul 13, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$19.99Jul 13, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$89.20Jul 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$44.41Jul 12, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$71.68Jul 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? AND Argentina to score first vs. England?$1.00Jul 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5$7.99Jul 12, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$10.34Jul 12, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$5.21Jul 12, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMLionel Messi: 1+ assists$66.67Jul 12, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5$34.39Jul 12, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: O/U 1.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$30.23Jul 12, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ assists$20.70Jul 10, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$0.00Jul 10, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.05Jul 10, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Nicolás Paz: 1+ goals AND Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals AND Will England win on 2026-07-11? AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?$9.94Jul 10, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 1.5$6.24Jul 10, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$10.24Jul 10, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?$1.05Jul 10, 21:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $16.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 00:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.