Long-Term-Win
0xddaec1a6a38e2534d5f5a85ae5765c90ec0944be
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$28.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
676 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Fed rate cut by July 31?
600 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$0.00
$-44.20
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
583 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?
538 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
500 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-135.00
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
500 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?
391 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-85.94
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2023-24 Champions League?
385 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
370 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$2.35May 30, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$74.15May 30, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$92.45May 30, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$7.18May 6, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$18.82May 6, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$2.70May 6, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$11.48May 6, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$97.01May 6, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$99.00May 6, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$37.00May 5, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?$77.41Apr 28, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?$66.00Apr 19, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$214.22Apr 8, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$35.00Apr 7, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$48.05Apr 7, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$3.95Apr 7, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$7.58Apr 7, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$8.02Apr 7, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?$88.00Apr 6, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$35.00Feb 13, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $69.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 17:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".