Failing-Chiffonier
0xddb40f20693a3502e88a04a65b84bbaa1c2e3a48
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-903.02
Realised
$0.08
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
2762 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-239.52
- YES
Will Ghost of Yotei win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
1891 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-14.05
- YES
Will Blue Prince win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
1304 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-12.13
- YES
Will Split Fiction win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
1111 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-7.39
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 1100 and 1149 times September 1–30?
637 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-95.55
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
551 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-81.77
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 950 and 999 times September 1–30?
469 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-134.48
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 1050 and 1099 times September 1–30?
348 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-53.89
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 1150 and 1199 times September 1–30?
342 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.31
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
259 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$36.00Nov 30, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$4.45Nov 30, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$6.66Nov 30, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$11.78Nov 30, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla acquire xAI in 2025?$6.66Nov 30, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.33Nov 30, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$5.11Nov 30, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$15.77Nov 26, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$6.83Nov 17, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Split Fiction win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.78Nov 17, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$12.87Nov 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Split Fiction win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.30Nov 17, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$5.55Nov 17, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.03Nov 17, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Split Fiction win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$4.31Nov 16, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$5.98Nov 16, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$0.97Nov 16, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$2.70Nov 16, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Blue Prince win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$5.03Nov 14, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghost of Yotei win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$4.77Nov 14, 14:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $13.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 22, 10:44 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 30, 13:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".