Murky-Cynic
0xddbb622393c599bfed5be4357f1cb664cbc332af
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$6.2K
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$-2.0K
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
4731 shares @ 51.6¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.1K
$658.97
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
1463 shares @ 47.9¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$987.33
$287.33
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?
1133 shares @ 44.1¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$736.55
$237.01
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 51.0¢·now 72.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$722.50
$212.50
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
833 shares @ 30.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$408.33
$158.33
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
1478 shares @ 15.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$184.76
$-48.70
- YES
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
385 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$98.08
$-1.92
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
500 shares @ 28.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.70
$-127.30
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
5891 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
5000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-188.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$102.22Jun 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$102.10Jun 12, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$300.00Jun 11, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?$700.00Jun 11, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?$499.55Jun 11, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$250.00Jun 11, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$247.04Jun 11, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$125.00Jun 3, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$1.68Jun 3, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$120.00Jun 3, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$6.19Jun 3, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1.58Jun 3, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$24.00Jun 3, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$6.40Jun 3, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$57.83Jun 3, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$39.35Jun 3, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$82.94Jun 3, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$11.69Jun 3, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$40.37Jun 3, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$287.50Jun 3, 14:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $163.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 15:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.