Genuine-Poll
0xddbc457bf97f8de8f34b911f1ca65120a5fa8841
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$3.85
Total PnL
$-35.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
164 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.85
$0.74
- TEAM FALCONS
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3)
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Heracles Almelo vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BNK FEARX
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO1)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-11-22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
663 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jara win by at least 15%?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Australia win?
126 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.99Mar 22, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.76Mar 15, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.14Feb 28, 06:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Feb 25, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.26Feb 24, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.11Jan 20, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2025-12-10?$3.00Dec 10, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?$2.00Dec 10, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorfolk State Spartans vs. Baylor Bears$1.00Dec 10, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$5.88Dec 7, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO1)$1.00Dec 6, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndia ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)$2.00Dec 6, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win?$3.00Dec 6, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win?$2.00Dec 6, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Pistons$3.00Dec 6, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?$2.00Dec 6, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$2.00Dec 6, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3)$5.00Dec 6, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 6, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?$3.45Dec 6, 10:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 07:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.