Impolite-Anxiety
0xddc4aff2f7760fb522dae9a533e969d921f323ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$268.19
Total PnL
$-516.70
Realised
$200.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 9.9¢·now 10.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$102.50
$3.50
- SENEGAL
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)
100 shares @ 55.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$96.96
$42.07
- YES
Exact Score: Senegal 3 - 0 Iraq?
258 shares @ 12.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$63.29
$32.29
- YES
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?
294 shares @ 6.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$5.44
$-14.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
476 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
323 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
278 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpread: Senegal (-2.5)$147.20Jun 26, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Senegal (-2.5)$97.80Jun 26, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Senegal (-2.5)$230.00Jun 26, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00Jun 26, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$91.53Jun 26, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$51.59Jun 26, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?$20.56Jun 26, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Senegal (-2.5)$329.89Jun 26, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$52.73Jun 26, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$52.66Jun 26, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$104.83Jun 26, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$10.53Jun 26, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$51.85Jun 26, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$52.06Jun 26, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$16.39Jun 26, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$171.18Jun 26, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$104.69Jun 26, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$52.87Jun 26, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$65.18Jun 26, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$2.01Jun 26, 18:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $54.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 20:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.