Hollow-Lender
0xddc8fdb11bbed4cefbf7ecfe20793941029e3742
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-9.60
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
800 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
585 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.85
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
527 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
517 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
405 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
397 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
320 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-19.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
309 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
305 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.43Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$2.68Jul 20, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.29Jul 20, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.65Jul 20, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$9.80Jul 20, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$10.40Jul 20, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.70Jul 20, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$19.98Jul 20, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.51Jul 20, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.99Jul 20, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.80Jul 20, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.50Jul 20, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$4.56Jul 20, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$16.60Jul 20, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$4.05Jul 20, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.24Jul 20, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.37Jul 20, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.61Jul 20, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.96Jul 20, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.34Jul 20, 08:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.