Caring-Accelerator
0xddd85ddfa58784925990c16c9858ccd62e4ee6f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$245.48
Total PnL
$-125.5K
Realised
$149.07
Win rate
27%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
241 shares @ 99.0¢·now 92.4¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$222.68
$-15.91
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
300 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.6¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$22.80
$4.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
Recent activity
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?$200.00Aug 15, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$18.85Aug 15, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?$49.71Aug 15, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?$10.05Aug 15, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?$41.71Aug 15, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?$63.22Aug 14, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?$84.60Aug 14, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?$32.18Aug 14, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$238.59Aug 14, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$901.75Aug 14, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$22.79Aug 13, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$324.86Aug 13, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$505.97Aug 13, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$50.00Aug 13, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$38.77Aug 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$1.25Aug 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$20.96Aug 13, 18:47 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?$199.99Aug 12, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?$17.36Aug 12, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?$10.35Aug 12, 12:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
30/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
27% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $403.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 15:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 17:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.