Caring-Accelerator
0xddd85ddfa58784925990c16c9858ccd62e4ee6f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$25.40
Total PnL
$-16.9K
Realised
$233.06
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.40
$-2.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
8948 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.00Jul 2, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?$4.0KJul 1, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on July 1?$1.7KJul 1, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on July 1?$5.5KJul 1, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on July 1?$3.9KJul 1, 16:23 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?$1.0KJul 1, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?$2.00Jul 1, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on June 30?$1.1KJul 1, 06:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.23Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$34.2KJun 30, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$5.67Jun 30, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$29.97Jun 30, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$2.04Jun 30, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$2.3KJun 30, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$35.04Jun 30, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$2.3KJun 30, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$4.34Jun 30, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$3.2KJun 30, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$2.6KJun 30, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$53.52Jun 30, 17:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
10/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $575.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 16:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.